| Party Name | Seats (Current) | Seats Change | Percentage (% Current) | Percentage (%) Change | Majority Probability | Minority Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 180 | +20 | 43.6% | +11% | 76.3% | 19.4% |
| Conservative | 128 | +9 | 40.6% | +6.9% | 0.6% | 3.6% |
| Bloc | 25 | -7 | 5.2% | -2.4% | 0% | 0% |
| New Democrat | 8 | -17 | 6.8% | -11% | N/A | N/A |
Yeah. I think Carney is likely to push PP to “disavow” Trump because we know a chunk of PP’s voters are Trump supporters and so PP is unlikely to provide a full-throated Trump rejection. Rest of Canadians would react at it as you described.
In any case, the race is very much too close for comfort at this point.
I don’t get why he doesn’t do it. What are his voters going to do if he disavows Trump? vote NDP?
He has everything to gain and nothing to lose.