Donald Trump is due to speak on the phone to his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on Tuesday to discuss a US-proposed Ukraine ceasefire deal.
Donald Trump is due to speak on the phone to his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on Tuesday to discuss a US-proposed Ukraine ceasefire deal.
What should happen being realistic is: either putin gets no territory but ukraine gets no security (no nato nor EU nor mutual defence with EU nations) or ukraine gets security (NATO, EU or mutual defence with EU nations) but Russia gains all territory it currently occupies
The best offer Ukraine ever got was Putin’s 2022 offer. Had Ukraine accepted Putin’s offer in 2022. Ukraine would have kept all of its land with even the status of Crimea being negotiable after 10-15 years.
Putin’s peace treaty would have the US and the UK, as guarantors, who were obliged to assist Ukraine in case of aggression against it.
Although Russia also was to be a guarantor and could veto assistance but I find it likely that Russia was willing to drop this (they were dropping a lot of conditions) as it would have provided Putin with a good enough victory to show off at home.
Ukraine wouldn’t be allowed to join NATO and they wouldn’t be allowed to host foreign troops inside their country and had to pay reparations and downsize its military.
Ukraine would however be allowed to join EU had they took this offer.
Similar to your 1st idea.